The 20-something billionaires who run Kalshi and Polymarket are battling it out to be the top prediction market company.

Kalshi and Polymarket pour money into deals with social-media influencers and students, who try to parlay rumors into cash.

In this way, prediction markets are the perfect technology for a low-trust society, simultaneously exploiting and reifying an environment in which believing the motives behind any person or action ...

Learn how prediction markets work, compare top platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, and understand the regulatory shifts driving this $44B market.

A 2024 lecture by professor Jiang Xueqin predicting a US–Iran war resurfaces online, sparking debate as tensions between the two nations rise.

Think about the last time you told a story to a friend. You probably adjusted it halfway through. You saw their eyebrows lift. You noticed them lean in, or glance away. You clarified a detail. You ...

Happy Birthday! Your birth date has brought you here, so let us have a deep insight into what your numbers hold for you in the upcoming 12 months.Pers.

What if staying alive depends on minimizing surprise? The Free Energy Principle suggests that feeling itself may be what that process is like from the inside.

Advocates against problem gambling have faced an uphill battle in recent years, with sports betting becoming more normalized in society and constant access to ways to wager on smartphones. Over the ...

Grounded in peer-reviewed research, Zibble’s AI Signal Groups let organizations pressure-test decisions against ...

Imagery Rescripting can effectively and permanently reduce the fear of failure by "rewriting" critical childhood memories.